
Making sense of a noisy, uncertain world with the author of 'The Rules of Contagion' and 'Proof'
| Platform | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Twice weekly | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 154 | Subscribers | Read | kucharski.substack.com |
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Before we start, here’s a little puzzle to mark the UK release of the paperback edition of Proof this Thursday:
If you do research involving data, you’ve probably spent a lot of time collating and cleaning. Over the years, I’ve digitised field notes, matched names across behavioural datasets, and gathered events from scattered reports and papers.
How likely is ‘likely’? Does ‘likely’ have a higher probability than ‘probable’? How realistic is a ‘realistic possibility’?
Reasoning models are getting better at maths exams, but how good are emerging tools at statistical tasks? I recently gave Claude Code a real-life behavioural dataset and asked whether there were any interesting patterns. A few minutes and a...
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The writers behind this newsletter.
Mathematician/epidemiologist. Author of Proof: The Uncertain Science of Certainty and The Rules of Contagion. Bylines in Wired, FT, Guardian, Times, New Scientist.
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