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Understanding the unseen

Adam Kucharski

Analysis and discussion covering epidemiology, statistics and science communication from the author of 'The Rules of Contagion' and 'The Perfect Bet'.

Platform
Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesTwice weekly
Issues80SubscribersRead kucharski.substack.com

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Latest Issues

Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.

H5N1 influenza: some troubling preliminary signals

Sometimes three data points can tell us a lot. Back in early May 2021, the REACT study in the UK reported the results of genomic sequencing of three newly detected infections in London. Unlike routine COVID case data, these infections had b...

23 days ago
37
1

A riddle about random gatherings

Imagine you were to gather 365 randomly chosen people in a room. What’s the probability at least one of them has a birthday today?

24 days ago
22
4

What would you do to avoid norovirus?

“You know what, I really need to get a bout of norovirus this winter to top up my immunity.”

a month ago
57
5

Stop looking for an NPI miracle

If there’s an epidemic control measure that’s useful, we ideally want to know that it’s useful. But there’s a problem. It’s all too common to set the bar too high for usefulness, and test non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) under the as...

a month ago
33
11

Authors

The writers behind this newsletter.

  • Adam Kucharski

    Epidemiologist/mathematician. Author of 'The Rules of Contagion' and 'The Perfect Bet'.

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