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Nonconsensus

Bob Elliott
Hundreds of paid subscribers

A daily look into the thinking of veteran macro investor Bob Elliott as he navigates some of the most challenging market dynamics he's seen over his career.

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Substack
PricingFreemiumPublishesDaily
Issues399Foundeda year agoLast Issue5 days ago
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Latest Issues

Glitter Is Back In Style

Gold has quietly built a stronger foundation than many realize. With steady physical demand, limited new supply, and ETF positioning still subdued, it may not take much to drive the next leg higher.

While your faithful morning commentator...

5 days ago
15
3
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Defying Reality

Oil prices are learning heavily on admin rhetoric to price high confidence of a near-term deal even as the actual flow of barrels out of the gulf is becoming increasingly constrained.

The last couple days have brought renewed downward pres...

6 days ago
13
2
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Crude’s Inventory Conundrum

Limited reduction in crude inventories globally suggest that the oil supply cuts have been absorbed by an extraordinary reduction in demand. Much more likely its China’s obfuscated inventory cuts.

Since early March the flow of barrels thro...

7 days ago
14
3
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A Well Timed Intervention

While intervention on its own rarely changes the trajectory of exchange rate markets, conditions are aligning to support the JPY here and the Treasury & MoF efforts are a kickstart to grind higher.

There was probably no more consensus macr...

8 days ago
13
1
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Week Ahead 2026.08.02

The bond market takes center stages as the QRA, employment report, and whether the JPY intervention continues will set the tone for duration currently at multi-decade highs in yield.

Quite the ride last week. Amazing after all that movemen...

9 days ago
11
5
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  • Bob Elliott

    CIO at Unlimited Funds | Fmr IC at Bridgewater | Described as one of the few "sane" voices on #fintwit | Comments are not investment advice

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