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Capital Float

The newsletter for professionals who follow macro but don't watch charts all day. You read the structure. You make the call.

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Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesWeekly
Issues11Founded2 months agoLast Issue5 days ago
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Latest Issues

Issue #011 — Yields Break the Euphoria

A Note From the Editor

Seven thousand five hundred on the S&P 500 is a number that deserves a moment of honesty rather than celebration.

Despite April CPI running hot at 3.8%, bond yields climbing to multi-year highs, oil holding firm...

5 days ago
26

Issue #010 — AI Supremacy Tests the Warsh Era

A Note From the Editor

The market has gone all-in on a simple idea: AI can fix almost everything.

Despite April CPI coming in hot at 3.8%, PPI surging to its highest level since 2022, oil holding firm above $100, and the Federal Reser...

12 days ago
23

Issue #009 — Nothing Matters Until It Does

A Note From the Editor

At some point between the missile exchange and the all-time high, the market made its position clear.

Oil touched $114. Missiles were exchanged. The bond market sat at yields that would have caused a correction...

19 days ago
24

Issue #008 — Big Tech Delivered. Oil Held the Line.

A Note From the Editor

This was the week the market stopped chasing headlines and started pricing endurance.

Oil refused to blink above $100. The Fed held rates with its most divided vote in decades. Jerome Powell called out energy pr...

a month ago
80
4

Issue #007 — Equities Chased the Ceasefire. Oil Stayed at War.

A Note From the Editor

There is a particular kind of market that keeps you up at night. Not because of what it is doing, but because of what it is pretending not to know.

This week was that market.

On Monday morning, WTI oil was push...

a month ago
51

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  • Capital Float

    The newsletter for professionals who follow macro but don't watch charts all day. You read the structure. You make the call.

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