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The Edward Egros Substack

Edward Egros, Benjamin Robinson

A newsletter about sports analytics, sports betting and whatever else is craved.

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PricingOnly free issuesPublishesTwice weekly
Issues132Founded3 years agoLast Issue13 days ago
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Latest Issues

Despite Insanity, We May Now Know Who’s in Contention for the National Championship

It’s quite common for the number-one team in college football to lose a game. Not only did it happen twice last year, the last time we saw a wire-to-wire No. 1 occurred in 2004 (USC).

But this year, it’s not at all hyperbole to say we’re...

13 days ago
3

Testing the Trade: A Pregame Segment on Freddy Peralta

The easy story on Freddy Peralta is the Rays traded for him and fixed him. The true story from data says it’s more complicated: the fix happened in stages. From his first start in Tampa on August 4th, his pitch mix changed. He threw more ch...

17 days ago

Grinding the Mocks for 2027: Our First Look at the Quarterbacks

It’s not just that Arch Manning and Dante Moore are neck-and-neck in the first edition of the 2027 aggregate board from Grinding the Mocks, their expected draft positions are separated by a tenth of a point, which and I call “noise”. In Pa...

a month ago
2

A First Look at Grinding the Mocks for 2027

It’s never too early to start thinking about the next NFL Draft. Fortunately for us, a lot of mock drafters feel the same way.

Even in September, of Grinding the Mocks has collected enough drafts to come up with his first aggregate list o...

a month ago

Tanner Bibee’s Wild and Crazy 2026

In 2023, Guardians right-hander Tanner Bibee had the makings of the next superstar pitcher in Major League Baseball. His rookie season featured a 2.98 ERA in 25 starts and a barrel rate allowed of 6.1%, putting him squarely in the 80th perc...

a month ago

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Authors

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  • Edward Egros

    Sports analytics broadcaster and writer making advanced stats watchable for fans and bettors. Powered by way too much cold brew

  • Benjamin Robinson

    I use mock drafts, the wisdom of crowds, and machine learning to predict the NFL Draft. I’ve been fortunate to work with NFL teams, agents, and analytics companies, as well as to be featured in the NYT, WSJ, WaPo, and Football Outsiders (RIP).

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