The Event Horizon
Dustin GoukerPrediction markets news, daily roundups, analysis and legal insights from Dustin Gouker, covering Kalshi, Polymarket, Robinhood, DraftKings, sports event contracts, regulation and more.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Daily |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 409 | Founded | 2 years ago | Last Issue | 3 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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nexteventhorizon.substack.comLatest Issues
Novig Announces ‘Responsible Trading Framework’ For Its Prediction Market, Including Minimum Age Of 21
The sports prediction market Novig announced on Thursday what it calls a “comprehensive responsible trading framework” that includes a minimum age of 21, among a number of other standards.
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Prediction markets generally allow...
No One Is Actually Betting On Wildfires, Despite All The Heat On Prediction Markets
One of the biggest stories in prediction markets right now is betting on wildfires. Every day there are new headlines. I even talked to the local news in my hometown about it.
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Here’s another new one this week:
California...
FlightAware Sues Kalshi Over Flight-Cancellation Markets
“Kalshi is using FlightAware’s data and name to run gambling markets on flight cancellations” is the opening sentence in the flight-tracking platform’s lawsuit against the largest US prediction market.
FlightAware sued Kalshi in the Southe...
Episode 27: Interview With ProphetX Co-Founder Jake Benzaquen
There are endless stories and hot takes about people betting on wildfires…even though no one is actually offering markets on fires. And there are lots of people yelling about betting on drug trials. What exactly is going on? Daniel O’Boyle...
We Might Be Able To Bet On Prediction Market Trading Volume?
I am so ready to bet on trading volume.
I have always said we need prediction markets about prediction markets.
A new self-certification by ForecastEx means we might be able to ~~bet~~ hedge on how much notional volume there will be at pr...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
I write two newsletters: The Closing Line on the U.S. gambling industry, and The Event Horizon on prediction markets. I am a longtime gambling industry journalist, analyst and consultant covering sports betting, online gambling and beyond.
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