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Prediction markets news, analysis and legal insights covering Kalshi, Polymarket, Robinhood, sports event contracts, regulation and the prediction markets industry.

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Latest Issues

Prediction Markets Are Changing Election Night. Mainstream Media Better Catch Up.

I’ve been a political junkie for most of my life. I went to school in DC for political communication — I wanted to work in government and politics — before deciding on a career in journalism.

In that time, I have seen a lot of election co...

2 days ago
6

Prediction Markets And Midterms: A Postmortem

All eyes were on prediction markets for midterm elections. What happened, and what’s to come?

Some thoughts, a look at the markets, and more. (I am just going to use Kalshi markets for simplicity, since I am writing this late on Tuesday ni...

3 days ago
6

Five Thoughts On Prediction Markets As Midterm Elections Arrive

It’s Election Day. It’s the day prediction markets were made for. We think.

Here are some thoughts and storylines heading into the midterm elections:

Prediction markets better hope Democrats win

Look, Kalshi, Polymarket, experts and...

4 days ago
10
1

Episode 39: Election Markets With Sam Henry Lazarus Of The Council On Foreign Relations

Are election markets good or bad for society, or a bit of both? I am joined this week by Sam Henry Lazarus, a geoeconomics analyst at the Council on Foreign Relations who recently did a deep dive on election betting.

And Daniel O’Boyle of...

5 days ago
7
1

A Prediction Market Gets Into Digital Rips, Because Of Course!

The future of finance is here. And not only is it hedging on how many points a football team will win by tonight. It’s also paying for and then opening a mystery trading card!

OG.com — which has not really broken through as a prediction ma...

8 days ago
10
1

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Authors

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  • Dustin Gouker

    I write two newsletters: The Closing Line on the U.S. gambling industry, and The Event Horizon on prediction markets. I am a longtime gambling industry journalist, analyst and consultant covering sports betting, online gambling and beyond.

  • Eric Ramsey

    I compile and analyze data from the regulated US online gambling industry.

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