How should we navigate explosive AI progress? The latest research from Forethought.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Twice weekly |
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newsletter.forethought.orgLatest Issues
Space weapons could shut others out of space and erode nuclear deterrence
This article was created by Forethought. See all our research on our website.
Main Takeaways
Launch costs have fallen by roughly an order of magnitude, driven disproportionately by the rise of reusable US rockets. In both 2024 and 2025...
Humans Are Not Chinchillas: Revisiting “How Quick and Big Would A Software Intelligence Explosion Be?”
This article was created by Forethought. See all our research on our website.
Introduction
Tom Davidson and Tom Houlden’s prior model of an intelligence explosion poses the question: after AIs can entirely substitute for human research...
Current AIs out-persuade professionals in lab settings but (probably) not in the world
This article was created by Forethought. See all of our research on our website.
How persuasive are present-day AI systems?
Unfortunately, it is surprisingly difficult to know where AI capabilities in persuasion are today (September 2026)...
A Thousand AI Constitutions: A Short Defense
This is a guest post by Simon Goldstein and Peter N. Salib. See all of Forethought’s research on our website.
Synopsis. Each AI lab should design many different AIs with many different values, rather than picking one approach. Diversificat...
Data bottlenecks won’t prevent an intelligence explosion
This article was created by Forethought. See the original on our website.
Summary
One of the most important questions facing the world is whether AI will undergo a fast intelligence explosion and quickly automate most real-world work....
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
AI macrostrategy research
Effective altruist, theist, utilitarian philosophy blogger. PhD student at Princeton in philosophy. Emergent ventures grantee. Advocate for taking ideas, morality, and the interests of neglected sentient beings seriously.
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PhD student in economics at Columbia University. Interested in growth, welfare and technology.
Writing about the future
AI safety grantmaking and strategy. Previously dabbled in biosecurity and quant trading.
The art of noticing what matters. I have eclectic interests, from anthropics to zoology. My goal is to find and share the weird and wonderful patterns of the world. Currently @ Forethought Past jobs: grantmaker, researcher, software engineer
Philosopher; figuring out how to do good better.
I like to read things.
Philosopher at Oxford University and author of The Precipice: Existential Risk and the Future of Humanity.
Head of Strategic Initiatives at Forethought
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