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How should we navigate explosive AI progress? The latest research from Forethought.

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Latest Issues

A nightwatchman on every probe

This article was created by Forethought. See the original on our website.

One utopian vision for space expansion involves a libertarian explosion of diversity, with everyone and their robot setting up different sorts of societies and gover...

7 days ago
10
1

The Dynamics of Intelligence Explosions

Abstract

AI is increasingly being used to help with AI R&D. Under certain conditions this feedback loop might be able to produce an intelligence explosion, with rapidly escalating AI capabilities. I explore the mathematics of the most e...

9 days ago
14
6

Notes on Implications of Scale-Dependent Algorithms

This article was created by Forethought. See all our research on our website.

Of past algorithmic improvements which decrease LLM pretraining loss, many have been “scale-dependent” – that is, improvements which decrease LLM pretraining los...

a month ago
26
3

Liberalism Forever

Peter Salib is an Assistant Professor of Law at the University of Houston Law Center and co-director of the Center for Law & AI Risk. Simon Goldstein is an associate professor at the University of Hong Kong, a senior editor at AI Frontiers,...

a month ago
27

Should Philanthropists Save Their Money for the Intelligence Explosion?

Will MacAskill is a senior research fellow at Forethought and the author of What We Owe The Future. Tom Davidson is a senior research fellow at Forethought and the author of a series of reports on AI timelines, takeoff speeds, and AI-enable...

a month ago
3

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Authors

The writers behind this newsletter.

  • Forethought

    AI macrostrategy research

  • Bentham's Bulldog

    Utilitarian, effective altruist, and cool guy all around

  • Lukas Finnveden

    Research Analyst at Redwood Research.

  • Elliott Thornley

    -

  • Tom Houlden

    PhD student in economics at Columbia University. Interested in growth, welfare and technology.

  • Fin Moorhouse

    Writing about the future

  • Avi Parrack
  • Tom Davidson
  • Max Dalton
  • Will MacAskill

    Philosopher; figuring out how to do good better.

  • Mia Taylor
  • Toby Ord

    Philosopher at Oxford University and author of The Precipice: Existential Risk and the Future of Humanity.

  • James Tillman
  • Stefan Torges

    Head of Strategic Initiatives at Forethought

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