How should we navigate explosive AI progress? The latest research from Forethought.
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Notes on Implications of Scale-Dependent Algorithms
This article was created by Forethought. See all our research on our website.
Of past algorithmic improvements which decrease LLM pretraining loss, many have been “scale-dependent” – that is, improvements which decrease LLM pretraining los...
Liberalism Forever
Peter Salib is an Assistant Professor of Law at the University of Houston Law Center and co-director of the Center for Law & AI Risk. Simon Goldstein is an associate professor at the University of Hong Kong, a senior editor at AI Frontiers,...
Should Philanthropists Save Their Money for the Intelligence Explosion?
Will MacAskill is a senior research fellow at Forethought and the author of What We Owe The Future. Tom Davidson is a senior research fellow at Forethought and the author of a series of reports on AI timelines, takeoff speeds, and AI-enable...
Policy ideas to ensure responsible government deployment of AI
This article was created by Forethought. See all our research on our website.
Summary
- Governments are going to deploy frontier AI in the domains where they have exclusive powers: military, intelligence, surveillance, and punitive la...
Speed-up calculator: How much will automating AI R&D speed up AI software progress, absent a software intelligence explosion?
We’ve previously argued that once AI R&D is automated, the feedback loop of AI improving AI might be powerful enough to sustain accelerating progress, even holding compute fixed. We call this possibility a software intelligence explosion (S...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
AI macrostrategy research
Utilitarian, effective altruist, and cool guy all around
Research Analyst at Redwood Research.
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PhD student in economics at Columbia University. Interested in growth, welfare and technology.
Visiting researcher at AI Impacts
Writing about the future
Mathematician-turned-futurist. I like puzzles and helping people. Trying to say sensible things about the future scratches both itches.
Philosopher; figuring out how to do good better.
Head of Strategic Initiatives at Forethought
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