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How should we navigate explosive AI progress? The latest research from Forethought.

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Latest Issues

Data bottlenecks won’t prevent an intelligence explosion

This article was created by Forethought. See the original on our website.

Summary

One of the most important questions facing the world is whether AI will undergo a fast intelligence explosion and quickly automate most real-world work....

15 days ago
21
2

Should We Hand Off the Most Important Decisions to AI?

Matthew Adelstein was a Visiting Scholar at Forethought and blogs as Bentham’s Bulldog, where he writes on ethics, animal welfare, and the long-run future.

He joined Fin Moorhouse to discuss:

  • Why Matthew thinks handoff of high-stakes...
20 days ago
8

A nightwatchman on every probe

This article was created by Forethought. See the original on our website.

One utopian vision for space expansion involves a libertarian explosion of diversity, with everyone and their robot setting up different sorts of societies and gover...

23 days ago
13
2

The Dynamics of Intelligence Explosions

Abstract

AI is increasingly being used to help with AI R&D. Under certain conditions this feedback loop might be able to produce an intelligence explosion, with rapidly escalating AI capabilities. I explore the mathematics of the most e...

a month ago
16
6

Notes on Implications of Scale-Dependent Algorithms

This article was created by Forethought. See all our research on our website.

Of past algorithmic improvements which decrease LLM pretraining loss, many have been “scale-dependent” – that is, improvements which decrease LLM pretraining los...

a month ago
28
3

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Authors

The writers behind this newsletter.

  • Forethought

    AI macrostrategy research

  • Stefan Torges

    Head of Strategic Initiatives at Forethought

  • Bentham's Bulldog

    Utilitarian, effective altruist, and cool guy all around

  • Avi Parrack
  • Lukas Finnveden

    Research Analyst at Redwood Research.

  • Toby Ord

    Philosopher at Oxford University and author of The Precipice: Existential Risk and the Future of Humanity.

  • Tom Houlden

    PhD student in economics at Columbia University. Interested in growth, welfare and technology.

  • Max Dalton
  • Tom Davidson
  • Fin Moorhouse

    Writing about the future

  • Elliott Thornley

    -

  • Will MacAskill

    Philosopher; figuring out how to do good better.

  • James Tillman
  • Mia Taylor
  • Oscar Delaney

    AI safety grantmaking and strategy. Previously dabbled in biosecurity and quant trading.

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