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The Epoch Brief - October 8, 2026

Welcome back to the Epoch Brief. In this edition, we’re covering:

  • Proliferating agents and plummeting costs. Our new report estimates how many AI agents could soon exist in the world: nearly 2 billion at the upper bound, assuming agent...
3 days ago
11

Hundreds of millions of AI agents are coming. Is there work for them?

This is a summary of a longer report on our website.


Anthropic’s Dario Amodei has described a future “country of geniuses in a datacenter”, but could we actually see AI spitting out a country’s worth of labor in the next few years?...

9 days ago
36
17

AI is getting cheaper faster than any other transformative technology

This is a summary of a longer report on our website.


Would you be surprised if the sticker price on a new car fell from $50,000 to $296 in two years?

Because that’s how fast AI is getting cheaper.

Over the past five years, the pri...

13 days ago
42
3

How far behind Nvidia is Huawei?

This is a summary of a more detailed report, available on our website.


The US-China AI competition spans everything from models and data centers to chips and the manufacturing equipment used to make them. Chips and manufacturing equ...

17 days ago
26
4

The Epoch Brief - September 12, 2026

Welcome back to the Epoch Brief! It’s been longer between Briefs than usual, so buckle up for a rich edition.

Here’s the full rundown:

  • An in-depth report on Huawei’s AI chip roadmap and production capacity, and how it will stack up wi...
a month ago
28
1

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Authors

The writers behind this newsletter.

  • Epoch AI
  • Joe Kwon

    I'm a researcher working on AI Safety! Previously, I worked on threat modeling with Forethought, governance at GovAI, ML research, and cognitive science at MIT.

  • Isabel Juniewicz

    Isabel Juniewicz is a senior researcher at Epoch AI. She was previously a researcher at Open Philanthropy and at Forethought. She has a masters degree in economics and an undergraduate quadruple major in econ, math, stats and computer science.

  • Cheryl Wu

    Economics Ph.D. student at Yale, working on AI, Innovation, History, Growth.

  • Timothée Chauvin

    AI security, cybersecurity

  • Venkat Somala

    AI Policy

  • Campbell Hutcheson

    Observer of the AI Scene

  • Lynette Bye

    A Harvard graduate and former Tarbell Fellow for journalists, I write about AI's growing influence on society.

  • Greg Burnham

    Researcher at Epoch AI

  • Josh You

    Data Analyst at Epoch AI

  • Jaime Sevilla

    Jaime Sevilla is the director of Epoch AI. His research is focused on technological forecasting and the trajectory of AI. He has a background in Mathematics and Computer Science.

  • JS Denain
  • Elliot Stewart

    Comms @ Epoch AI.

  • Anson Ho

    I write about the mechanics of AI progress and the societal impacts of AI.

  • Philip Trammell

    Economist at Epoch AI and the Stanford Digital Economy Lab

  • Luke Emberson

    Researcher at Epoch AI

  • Alexander Barry

    Statistician working on understanding AI Capabilities | Epoch AI | All opinions my own

  • David Roodman

    Longtime policy researcher.

  • Daniel Carey

    Economist and researcher at Epoch AI.

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