Insights and analysis on AI trends, developments, and research from Epoch AI.
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The economics of superstar AI researchers
Gradient Updates shares more opinionated or informal takes on big questions in AI progress. These posts solely represent the views of the authors, and do not necessarily reflect the views of Epoch AI as a whole.
AI is one of those f...
The Epoch Brief - May 8, 2026
Welcome to this edition of the Epoch AI Brief! This week:
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In a new report, we estimate that between 290,000 and 1.6 million H100-equivalent chips were smuggled into China through 2025.
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We launched the AI Chip Components data explo...
RIP Classic Reasoning Benchmarks. What’s Next?
This post is part of Epoch AI’s Gradient Updates newsletter, which shares more opinionated or informal takes on big questions in AI progress. These posts solely represent the views of the authors, and do not necessarily reflect the views of...
Are AI benchmarks doomed?
Greg Burnham leads Epoch’s benchmarking team. Tom Adamczewski is a senior research engineer who develops new benchmarks, including MirrorCode.
Topics we cover: why benchmark saturation isn’t as alarming as it seems, how AI can speed up ben...
Diversion and resale: estimating compute smuggling to China
The following is excerpted from our full report, which contains interactive charts, a breakdown of our methodology and evidence, and a comparison to other estimates.
Key takeaways
- Substantial quantities of AI chips have been...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
AI Policy
Researcher at Epoch AI
At Epoch AI.
Product and Law
Economics Ph.D. student at Yale, working on AI, Innovation, History, Growth.
Research @ Prime Intellect | https://florianbrand.com/ | Opinions my own.
I write about the mechanics of AI progress and the societal impacts of AI.
Data Analyst at Epoch AI
Ben Cottier is a senior researcher at Epoch AI. He leads the Frontier Data Centers project.
Isabel Juniewicz is a senior researcher at Epoch AI. She was previously a researcher at Open Philanthropy and at Forethought. She has a masters degree in economics and an undergraduate quadruple major in econ, math, stats and computer science.
Head of Data and Trends at Epoch AI.
Elliot manages communications at Epoch AI.
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