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FDW Capital

Independent financial advisor and researcher. Global equity markets, energy geopolitics, portfolio strategy — and the macro complexity that comes with being based in Argentina.

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Issues15Founded4 months agoLast Issue15 days ago
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Latest Issues

The E Is Lying: Covello and the Earnings Bubble

When the head of global equity research at Goldman Sachs sits down to grade his own homework, it is worth paying attention. When that person is Jim Covello: the top-ranked semiconductor analyst of his generation, a man who watched the dot-c...

15 days ago
8
2

THE 2026 SUPER EL NIÑO

What is El Niño? The mechanism behind the name

Before talking portfolios, it is worth understanding the physical phenomenon, because everything that follows (from the collapse of Asian harvests in 1877 to the table of equity winners and...

21 days ago
27
1

The Memory Cycle, Explained

One of the most fascinating charts I’ve seen recently comes from Bernstein’s semiconductor research team.

It shows earnings per share for Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron exploding over the next 18 months, reaching levels that would have seem...

a month ago
14
1

Banking Without Branches: Why I'm Buying Nubank at $12

Note to Readers

This valuation is being shared exclusively with clients of my financial advisory service. As part of my commitment to providing value beyond portfolio management, clients receive early access to selected deep-dive research...

a month ago
11

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    Asset management, financial advisory services, and in-depth research. Geopolitics posts too. Specializing in the Argentine and Latin American markets.

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