Hindsight 20/20
Balkan DevlenTurning hindsight into foresight. Mostly on geopolitics, forecasting, and AI.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 10 | Subscribers | Read | h2020.substack.com |
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Latest Issues
Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.
Will Putin cross the Rubicon in Ukraine?
The current crisis, manufactured by Russia is going fullsteam ahead towards its conclusion, at least in its current form. Whatever will happen, will happen in the next couple of weeks, at most. Early in the month I said in this newsletter s...
Update: Will Russia invade Ukraine, again?
Three reasons why I am up to 75% probability for military action involving ground troops (including “officially” moving Russian troops to de-facto Russian-controlled Donbas) happening before April 1st.
Will Russia invade Ukraine, again?
Hello there! Long time, no see! It has been more than 15 months since my last post and I know consistency is key and all that but…oh well…such is life. Although I have been writing on other platforms on a variety of issues, from Canadians’ ...
Will they stay or will they go?
I just want to do a quick update on two of the forecasts that I have done. First on the US elections and what might come afterwards and second on Lukashenko and the future of Belarus.
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
I think, teach, speak, and write about the future (foreign policy, great power politics, and x-risks) and the best ways of thinking about the future (anticipation, forecasting, and strategic foresight). For more visit https://www.balkandevlen.com
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