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Expecting Goals

Michael Caley

Studies in Soccer Analytics from Michael Caley

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PricingFreemiumPublishesWeekly
Issues24Founded2 years agoLast Issue3 months ago
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Latest Issues

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Also: Expecting Goals in the News!

The process of developing an Expecting Goals study rarely runs down a predetermined track without detours or dead ends. A question drives me toward another question which leads into some statistical analy...

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The Set Piece Revolution

The set piece has always been an oddity within the game of football. A sport otherwise defined by its dynamism and continuity of action on an enormous playing surface takes a break several times every match for all the players to line up an...

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Holiday Power Rankings

How do things look around the midpoint of the European football season?

Most of the continental leagues are going on break while the English Premier League prepares for its holiday fixtures. Here at Expecting Goals, there will be multiple...

5 months ago
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Expecting Goals Power Rankings

Let's see how things are going in Europe

I built a team ratings and match projection model earlier this year, and I have already used it to study the effects of motivation on soccer players by looking at performance compared to expectation...

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The Political Geography of New York City

As I have worked in New York City politics for the last decade, I have learned a kind of shorthand for maps, a mental model of which neighborhoods vote which way and why. When I’m giving a presentation or just talking to a few people, the s...

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