Mike’s Blog
Mike Saint-Antoine| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Monthly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 22 | Founded | 4 years ago | Last Issue | a year ago |
| Active | |||||
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mikesblog.netLatest Issues
How to Make a Tribe
Introduction
What is a “cult,” exactly? What does it mean for a group of people to be a cult?
Usually when we call something a cult, we're talking about a group of people who were deliberately indoctrinated into a shared group identity...
Errata
Hi everyone, I realized that I made a mistake in my recent post Scoring 2024 Election Forecasts, so I’m writing to correct it and apologize.
In the post, I tried to be a bit fancy and high-tech, so for the Brier score tables rather than ju...
Scoring 2024 Election Forecasts
[Data and code]
(Sorry it took so long to publish this, but I was waiting for the CA-13 House race, which just got called yesterday)
Introduction
The goal of this post is to report evaluation metrics for some forecasts of the 2024 US e...
Crowdsourced Election Forecast, As Well As My Own
Thank you to everyone who entered the 2024 election forecasting contest! The winners of the cash prizes will be announced once the election results are in and I can score the forecasts.
In the meantime, I used the forecasts from the contes...
2024 Election Forecasting Contest - One Week Left!
Here’s the link to sign up and enter your predictions!
Deadline: Monday November 4, before 12 noon US Eastern Time
Prizes:
-
1st Place: $500
-
2nd Place: $250
-
3rd Place: $100
Link to the original post with details on the sc...
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