Betting on world economic events and elections
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 82 | Founded | 3 years ago | Last Issue | 3 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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macromodels.substack.comLatest Issues
On AI, the Consensus Is Clear
An odd alliance of dirtbag-leftists, 2nd-tier venture capitalists and MAGA holdouts are trying to gaslight people on social media that concern about AI is a niche “doomer” concern. This is false. Most Americans think that there is a least a...
Israeli Elections Cheat Sheet
TLDR: I think Lieberman is worth a flyer for next PM at ~3 to 4c
Israel holds legislative elections on October 27th, 2026. Israel elects its unicameral legislature (the Knesset) via a vote for a party, not an individual, and parties with a...
Takes on a Plane
I’m traveling 525 miles per hour 36,000 feet above somewhere in rural Missouri, en route from JFK to LAX. Continental flight is in theory majestic and in practice alienating; people react to this contrast differently. At seat 55C at this mo...
Some Brief Thoughts on AI
My view is that super intelligent AI poses three key risks:
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It might kill almost everyone on earth (e.g. bioterrorism, hacking nuclear infrastructure, etc).
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It might lead to a permanent dictatorship of some kind.
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It might...
Three Finance Takes I Disagreed with in July
I encountered a lot of financial commentary I disagreed with in July. No commentary was so bad it warranted its own piece but I’ve been collecting them for a listicle of refutation; a Sunday night with boring pre-market action felt like a g...
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Data scientist interested in macro betting.
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