Macro Models
Frightened ParrotBetting on world economic events and elections
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 77 | Founded | 3 years ago | Last Issue | 11 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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macromodels.substack.comLatest Issues
Senate and Recession Odds
I have seen many posts about AI potential to replace human writing. This post is an experiment in trying to work with AI in a way I find fun & liberating. I first asked Claude a research question, then wrote up my thoughts on the evidence b...
Three Gambling Lessons From College
On the subway this month, I keep seeing diplomas and philosophy books I read in college. I’m excited for a possible philosophy renaissance (or small sample anomaly?), but I have to admit I remember very little of what these books said. The...
Kalshi Econ Liquidity Rewards
Kalshi has started rolling out semi-generous rewards for market-making in economics, and I want to publicize this effort. In general, I am not thrilled with the crypto-and-sportsification of our beautiful prediction markets. But like the ne...
Sometimes there's a man....
I spend my summer days in outdoors cafes now reading and giving increasingly sparse directions to an intelligence far greater than my own. The Claude Code Terminals are up and so are its creations, a series of dashboards and Web UI’s confir...
The Lonely Role of a Sincere PM Evangelist
Professional gambler/consumer advocate Isaac Rose-Berman writes that Kalshi is like a casino in that it requires a steady stream of losing bettors to play a negative-sum game:
Kalshi pitches itself as morally superior to casinos because...
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The writers behind this newsletter.
Data scientist interested in macro betting.
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