
Betting on world economic events and elections
| Platform | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Twice weekly | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 70 | Subscribers | Read | macromodels.substack.com |
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Disclosure: Financially, I am short Reza Pahlavi becoming the leader of Iran in 2026. Politically, I think Reza Pahlavi would be much better than current leadership; I also think many other anti-regime figures would be better suited to the ...
Nate Silver proved that there is a paying market for well-calibrated predictions about election results. However, his raw-materials were “polls”, and five related developments have challenged his method since he captivated America with his ...
I am experimenting with a new format for prediction market pricing about politics: links to useful sources, market pricing, and then my thoughts on related matters that don’t have market pricing.
# 50 Cent Dollars on Liquidity
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