Abstraction
Jonathan MannForecasting and the future of AI.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 38 | Founded | 5 years ago | Last Issue | 19 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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abstraction.substack.comLatest Issues
AI Still Isn’t Coming for Your Job -- Yet
art by ChatGPT
Author's note: In 2023 I wrote AI Isn't Coming for Tech Jobs—Yet for Asterisk, along with a companion piece laying out the model. The core thesis held: Whatever the disruptions of AI, the number of tech jobs grew on net. My...
The QueensLink Compromise
Source: reddit u/joshsvo / r/nycrail, adapted from the MTA subway map.
QueensLink would have been a signal of confidence in New York City's future. By reactivating an abandoned rail corridor, it would have connected southern Queens to the...
The Jagged Boom
After arguing about AI at LessOnline last weekend, I want to register my beliefs.
The short-timelines people are seeing something real, but the coming years probably won’t manifest as a rapid AI takeoff with an explosion in GDP.
More lik...
Grading World Models
art by Gemini
Suppose you are bitten by a rattlesnake. Would you rather be treated by a medical toxicologist, or by a faith healer who chews up herbs and spits them into the wound?
Because snake bites usually aren’t fatal, most patients s...
Manufacturing Epistemic Density
Art by ChatGPT
About two weeks ago, my friend Varun threw a farewell party. He’s moving to the Bay Area. The apartment was full of researchers, founders, and the kinds of people who get it when it comes to how much AI is about to turn ever...
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