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Economist (PhD). I model macro-econ/financial phenomena into human behavior dynamics. Mapping the structural mechanics of relationships so you don't have to

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PricingOnly free issuesPublishesWeekly
Issues116Foundeda year agoLast Issue7 days ago
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Latest Issues

This is Regression Not Repression: What Households Hear When the Central Bank Speaks

The last essay ended with one relationship still breathing. Every grand claim about confidence steering the economy had died under its own robustness checks, and almost nothing was left standing. What survived was a single connection betwee...

7 days ago
40
4

The People You Date Are Not the Population: Samples, Estimators, and the Dangerous Confidence of Small Numbers

I am not a neuroscientist, psychologist, behavioralist, or relationship coach. I am an economist with an Economics degree, experience working with economic datasets, Stata, heartbreak, and a very strict citation style.

if you read the last...

14 days ago
57
8

What the Model Missed Series 2: The Model Prices the Average. It Cannot Feel the Distance From It.

I read one quantitative paper every day (as part of my day job) and wrote one note about what it found and what it missed. I aimed for thirty papers in thirty days. That’s why it is called “monthly.” LOL

The papers came from the National B...

2 months ago
55
4

Sexy Bell Curves: Pinned Indexes, Fat Tails, and Grumpy Humans

I am not a neuroscientist, psychologist, behavioralist, or relationship coach. I am an economist with an Economics degree, experience working with economic datasets, Stata, heartbreak, and a citation style.


In the last chapter, we c...

2 months ago
74
6

The Fair Value: Expected Value and the Hidden Price of a Man Who Says All the Right Things

I am not a neuroscientist, psychologist, behavioralist, or relationship coach. I am an economist with an Economics degree, experience working with economic datasets, Stata, heartbreak, and a citation style.

Where We Left the Distribut...

2 months ago
76
9

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Authors

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  • Mondayswife

    Research Economist (PhD) Modeling the intersection of macro-finance and human behavioral dynamics

  • FX Engineer

    Systematic research on retail FX positioning. 1.9M hourly observations. 28 pairs. 12 years. We provide context. Markets decide.

  • Learning.Investing.Thriving.

    Ex–Morgan Stanley & JP Morgan | Hedge Fund Vet | Now Teaching the Next Gen 20+ years in global markets. Equity trading. Hedge funds. Been there, done that. Creator of Learning.Investing.Thriving: Finance Made Simple.

  • Riko Kardamow

    research on energy, macroeconomics, and geopolitics.

  • Springbok Finance

    Know what you own. Know why you own it. Know when to sell.

  • Fulcrum Insights

    Fulcrum Insights provides independent market analysis of equities, crypto, and macro trends. Written by a former registered investment advisor turned independent investor who cuts through the noise to find what actually matters.

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