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Economist (PhD). I model macro-econ/financial phenomena into human behavior dynamics. Mapping the structural mechanics of relationships so you don't have to

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Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesWeekly
Issues114Foundeda year agoLast Issue7 days ago
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Latest Issues

What the Model Missed Series 2: The Model Prices the Average. It Cannot Feel the Distance From It.

I read one quantitative paper every day (as part of my day job) and wrote one note about what it found and what it missed. I aimed for thirty papers in thirty days. That’s why it is called “monthly.” LOL

The papers came from the National B...

7 days ago
39

Sexy Bell Curves: Pinned Indexes, Fat Tails, and Grumpy Humans

I am not a neuroscientist, psychologist, behavioralist, or relationship coach. I am an economist with an Economics degree, experience working with economic datasets, Stata, heartbreak, and a citation style.


In the last chapter, we c...

25 days ago
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The Fair Value: Expected Value and the Hidden Price of a Man Who Says All the Right Things

I am not a neuroscientist, psychologist, behavioralist, or relationship coach. I am an economist with an Economics degree, experience working with economic datasets, Stata, heartbreak, and a citation style.

Where We Left the Distribut...

a month ago
75
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The Tuesday Mirage and Why You Keep Misreading People

I am not a neuroscientist, psychologist, behavioralist, or relationship coach. I am an economist with an Economics degree, experience working with economic datasets, Stata, heartbreak, and a citation style.

Last time, we mapped a single ra...

a month ago
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The Global Debt Trap: Why Conventional Monitoring Is Blind to Emerging Risks

I am in my busiest month, and so I cannot do separate research for Substack as I normally do. Therefore, I will just post my current research progress as I go. This post is based on my preliminary research for my recent IMRI-EWS-OIC project...

a month ago
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Authors

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  • Mondayswife

    Research Economist (PhD) Modeling the intersection of macro-finance and human behavioral dynamics

  • Riko Kardamow

    research on energy, macroeconomics, and geopolitics.

  • Wealth GPS

    Weekly financial planning insights to help you build wealth with total clarity. Break bad money habits & ignore the noise. Make smarter, sharper decisions with your capital. 25 years in the advisor's seat (former CFP). Join us!

  • The M&A Hunter

    Tracking biotech & Banking acquisition targets Featuring acquisition targets with detailed analysis M&A probability signals and catalysts Valuation insight and deal timing estimates Big pharma strategy patterns "NOT Pro Advice"

  • Leon Liao

    Publish everyday. A new framework for understanding China, industrial power, state capacity, tech diffusion, capital flows, and global order.Former Managing Director at a global investment bank and Head of a top China research institute

  • Learning.Investing.Thriving.

    Ex–Morgan Stanley & JP Morgan | Hedge Fund Vet | Now Teaching the Next Gen 20+ years in global markets. Equity trading. Hedge funds. Been there, done that. Creator of Learning.Investing.Thriving: Finance Made Simple.

  • Antony Liao

    Young writer focused on history and literature. Author of A Leaf of Thoughts and A Drift of Thoughts. This space continues a practice of close reading, exploring not just stories, but the ideas and human questions within them.

  • FX Engineer

    Systematic research on retail FX positioning. 1.9M hourly observations. 28 pairs. 12 years. We provide context. Markets decide.

  • Springbok Finance

    Know what you own. Know why you own it. Know when to sell.

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