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Economist (PhD). I model macro-econ/financial phenomena into human behavior dynamics. Mapping the structural mechanics of relationships so you don't have to

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Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesWeekly
Issues120Founded2 years agoLast Issue14 days ago
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Latest Issues

What “95% Confident” Actually Means: Why Your Model Can Be Right and Your Man Still Surprise You

I am not a neuroscientist, psychologist, behaviouralist, or relationship coach. I am an economist with an Economics degree, experience working with economic datasets, Stata, heartbreak, and a citation style.

In Chapter 3.1, The People You...

14 days ago
53
4

Shariah Screened Equity Research: Where Do We Diverge?

This essay adds a Shariah screening layer to a long horizon equity research framework and shows where the two approaches agree and where they diverge.

The equity research framework used throughout this essay is the work of set out in Full...

24 days ago
46
6

Postdoc Burnout, Men and Models That Broke Me, Part II: Econometrics Approach of “More”

You may/not have noticed, I have been away from Substack for at least a good 3 months. I got a new work appointment, with a new role and scope, with a new boss in a new city, while finishing off a next year fellowship plan (that took me 6 m...

a month ago
44
17

The Person You Are Is Not a Parameter: Markov Chains, Bad Decisions, and the Probability You Become Someone Else

I am not a neuroscientist, psychologist, behaviouralist, or relationship coach. I am an economist with an Economics degree, experience working with economic datasets, Stata, heartbreak, and a citation style.

We had just spent an entire cha...

a month ago
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10

This is Regression Not Repression: What Households Hear When the Central Bank Speaks

The last essay ended with one relationship still breathing. Every grand claim about confidence steering the economy had died under its own robustness checks, and almost nothing was left standing. What survived was a single connection betwee...

2 months ago
58
10

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Authors

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  • Mondayswife

    Research Economist (PhD) | Modelling macro-finance and human behaviour, with econometrics as the backbone.

  • Learning.Investing.Thriving.

    Ex–Morgan Stanley & JP Morgan | Hedge Fund Vet | Now Teaching the Next Gen 20+ years in global markets. Equity trading. Hedge funds. Been there, done that. Creator of Learning.Investing.Thriving: Finance Made Simple.

  • Springbok Finance

    Know what you own. Know why you own it. Know when to sell.

  • Fulcrum Insights

    Independent analysis of equities, crypto and macro by a former Fidelity investment advisor who cuts through the noise to find what actually matters. Publisher of Fulcrum Insights and Fulcrum Model Portfolios. fulcrummodelportfolios.com

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