Money or Debt Newsletter
Stephen PerrenodModeling Bitcoin Value with the Power Law and log periodicity
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Twice weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 111 | Founded | 6 years ago | Last Issue | 5 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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stephenperrenod.substack.comLatest Issues
Bitcoin Structural Sharpe Ratio and Continuous Kelly Fraction
Is Bitcoin becoming nore or less risky?
Bitcoin’s returns have been declining for years. That should not be surprising. If Bitcoin follows a long-term power law, then as the network ages its growth rate naturally slows.
But what about ris...
Bitcoin’s Two Leashes
Age-dependent volatility model indicates Bitcoin’s price now at the most negative local Z-score in its history
Introduction: Is Bitcoin More Undervalued Than in 2022?
Bitcoin’s Power Law Passes a Major Statistical Test
Introduction
For years, Giovanni Santostasi — who first realized the power law nature of Bitcoin — and I have argued that Bitcoin follows this remarkably simple long-term relationship:
P(t) ~ tβ
where P is price, t is Bitcoin’s age, and...
Bitcoin’s Not-so-Hidden Structure
Introduction: Yes there is Structure beyond the Power Law, but is it Ad Hoc?
It is self-evident with the bubbles and troughs around Bitcoin’s long term power law trajectory that there is additional structure to be explained. The question i...
Bitcoin vs. Gold Recovery
When does BTC/AU reconnect with the power law?
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Authors
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Technology analyst/advisor, astrophysics PhD, Associate Director of Scientific Bitcoin Institute ⚡️#hodl creator of semiannual CryptoSuper mining list, elucidator of Block Calendar system
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