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Money or Debt Newsletter

Stephen Perrenod

Modeling Bitcoin Value with the Power Law and log periodicity

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Substack
PricingFreemiumPublishesTwice weekly
Issues122Founded6 years agoLast Issue7 days ago
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Latest Issues

Two-Year Scenario for Bitcoin: Two Log-Periodic Modes

Flat 12-Month Outlook, Next LP Peak around 2030

Executive Summary

7 days ago
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All Fiat is Declining in Bitcoin Terms

Introduction

Giovanni Santostasi and others, including myself, have demonstrated with a wide variety of methods — around one dozen techniques — and with robust statistical validation — that Bitcoin adheres to a power law when measured in d...

10 days ago
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Beyond the Power Law IV: Testing Bitcoin’s Dynamic Geometry

Executive Summary

In Beyond the Power Law articles I-III, I examined Bitcoin’s dynamic geometry in uniform log time, considering both the log price residuals after removing the power law, and the second-order residuals after removing the f...

19 days ago
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Beyond the Power Law III: The Dynamics of Bitcoin’s Reconstructed State Space

Revision note (24 July): This article has been updated considerably to reconstruct Bitcoin’s residual dynamics on a uniform logarithmic-age grid. Log-time reconstruction strengthens the evidence for low-dimensional organization while deprec...

a month ago
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Beyond the Power Law II: Bitcoin’s Hidden Hyperspace

Revealing Stretch-and-Fold Dynamics in Bitcoin’s Reconstructed Attractor

Executive Summary

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  • Stephen Perrenod

    Technology analyst/advisor, astrophysics PhD, Associate Director of Scientific Bitcoin Institute ⚡️#hodl creator of semiannual CryptoSuper mining list, elucidator of Block Calendar system

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