Shawn Robbins @ Box Office Theory
Shawn RobbinsExclusive box office projections and movie business insights from Shawn Robbins built around proprietary forecasting models. Our audience includes studio executives, theater owners, financial institutions and everyday movie fans.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Twice weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 257 | Founded | 3 years ago | Last Issue | 3 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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boxofficetheory.substack.comLatest Issues
Box Office Weekend Forecast: GODZILLA MINUS ZERO Eyes $24-33M Domestic Launch, THE CAT IN THE HAT Likely Around $12-17M
Photo Credits: Kôzô Shibasaki & GKIDS (”Godzilla Minus Zero”); Warner Bros. (”The Cat in the Hat”)
Godzilla Minus Zero (GKIDS)
BOT Domestic Opening Weekend Forecast Range: $24 — 33 million
The Cat in the Hat (WB)
BOT Domestic Opening...
5-Week Box Office Forecasts: Could HUNGER GAMES: SUNRISE ON THE REAPING Return the Franchise to the $100M+ Club?; Early Expectations for VIOLENT NIGHT 2 and More Updates
Photo Credits: Lionsgate (”The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping”); Universal (”Violent Night 2”)
Boldly go to rest in peace, Sir Patrick Stewart.
Notes, Key Tracking Factors & Rationale:
- Crazy week. Not much time for a full writ...
5-Week Box Office Forecasts: Disney's HEXED, the FOCKER-IN-LAW Reunion, and HUNGER GAMES' Sophomore Showing to Anchor Thanksgiving Week 2026
Ahead of "Dunesday" and a potentially gargantuan end-of-year box office finish, November will close out with a slew of releases hoping to replicate at least a portion of recent Thanksgiving success.
Photo Credits: Barry Peterson & Universa...
Box Office Weekend Forecast: CLAYFACE Eyes $15-23M Debut; YOU CAN SEE EVERYTHING Expands; WICKER and WILDWOOD Show Counter-Program Potential
Photo Credits: Rob Hardy & Warner Bros. (”Clayface”); David Bolen & A24 (”You Can See Everything”)
Clayface (Warner Bros.)
BOT Domestic Opening Weekend Forecast Range: $15 — 23 million
Wildwood (Fathom Entertainment)
BOT Domestic Open...
5-Week Box Office Forecasts: THE HUNGER GAMES: SUNRISE ON THE REAPING ($60-70M+) Hopes to Capitalize on Gen Z and Millennial Trends; Could EBENEZER Turn Into the Next Holiday Staple?
Although November box office overall could be down from 2024 and 2025, a few key standout films will serve as great table-setters before an expected historic December.
Photo Credits: Lionsgate (”The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping”);...
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Movie Industry Forecasts, Analysis, and Consulting via BoxOfficeTheory.com
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