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The Numbers Game

Dan Fleming

Sports data, visualized - open-source stats from football, basketball, baseball and beyond, with the story behind the numbers. One chart weekly.

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Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesWeekly
Issues8Founded2 months agoLast Issue9 days ago
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Latest Issues

I Simulated 10,000 Premier League Seasons. Here's Who Wins.

I ran 10,000 simulated Premier League 26/27 seasons to see where teams are most likely to finish in the coming year.

The Premier League season is just around the corner, and by now I’m sure you’ve heard every opinion under the sun on who’...

9 days ago
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15

Fernandes, Semenyo, Bowen: The FPL Luck Index

I love fantasy sports. My friends at work laugh at me and wonder when I have any time to do my real job. In a typical year I’ll play Fantasy Premier League (FPL), Fantasy Football (NFL), Basketball (NBA), Baseball (MLB), Tour de France (TDF...

16 days ago
23
7

The Geography of Football: Mapping World Cup Dominance

Football was my first love, as it was for a lot of people around the world. FIFA says that over 1.5 BILLION people watched the final in 2022, up almost half a billion from the 2018 tournament in Russia. This popularity makes it one of the w...

23 days ago
14
3

Giant-Killing by the Numbers: Are World Cup Upsets Becoming More Common?

The 2026 World Cup knockout rounds started with a few major upsets. FIFA ranked #41 Paraguay knocked #10 Germany out on penalties. A couple of days later, Morocco continued their 2022 World Cup form and did the same to the Dutch. Two big kn...

a month ago
19
6

Club Football Has Never Scored More, but the World Cup Has Stopped

As an Englishman, I couldn’t help but notice how good England looked going forward in the first group game of 2026 against Croatia. This quickly disappeared after the Ghana game, but it got me thinking about how many goals are scored in Wor...

a month ago
10
4

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  • Dan Fleming

    Independent sport data journalism - built using open-source datasets. Weekly charts with a short, evidence-based write-up: what the data shows, what it doesn't, and where the sample size means you should be skeptical.

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