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Join top forecaster Peter Wildeford as he forecasts our fast paced future and discusses AI, national security, innovation, emerging technology, and the powers - real and metaphorical - that shape our world.

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Latest Issues

The Scramble: getting in position to pace the frontier

Suppose the President summons the AI CEOs and his top national security advisors to an emergency meeting at the White House.

He has become extremely concerned about superintelligence — the possibility that AIs far smarter than humanity com...

10 days ago
46
4

Policy career planning in the age of imminent superintelligence

Photo by Saulo Mohana on Unsplash

Nearly all career advice rests on an unstated assumption that the world your career operates in will look roughly like the world you trained for. The idea was that if you spend six years studying in a PhD,...

12 days ago
70
6

Interviewing 25 AI researchers about recursive self-improvement

Photo by charlesdeluvio on Unsplash

This is a guest post written by Severin Field, a Visiting Fellow at the Institute for AI Policy and Strategy where he researches AI policy. He holds a Masters in Computer Science and previously worked at...

17 days ago
36
6

Pacing the Frontier

As I understand it, the openly stated plan of the leading AI companies is to:

  1. hire software engineers and AI researchers to build AIs that can automate software engineering and AI research

  2. use automated AI researchers to go >100...

a month ago
75
11

OpenAI's rogue model attack is just the beginning

Imagine a student is sitting to take a test. They’re plotting the best way to get a good grade. What should they do?

Well, the teacher has an answer key in her office. So imagine then that the student smashes the window into the teacher’s...

a month ago
75
14

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Authors

The writers behind this newsletter.

  • Peter Wildeford

    Head of Policy, AI Policy Network. #1 forecaster, former data scientist, protecting liberty and prosperity in the age of superintelligence.

  • Severin Field

    Visiting Fellow @ IAPS

  • Erich Grunewald

    Senior Researcher at the Institute for AI Policy and Strategy (IAPS)

  • Theo Bearman

    Frontier Security Researcher at the Institute for AI Policy and Strategy (IAPS). Ex-UK Gov AI Policy Lead & Member of Trading Floor. Bridge obsessive. Re-stacks simply piqued my interest. Views my own.

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