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The Super Model

The Super Model, Harry Crane, Flip Pidot, Ryan

Polls stink. Forecasters stink. Markets are decent. This might be slightly better.

Platform
Substack
PricingFreemium
PublishesDailyIssues35
SubscribersRead thesupermodel.com

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Latest Issues

Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.

RIP 538

With yesterday’s untimely demise of 538, we’re looking into what tools and features (or reasonable facsimiles thereof) we may be able to readily replicate and deliver to you here at the Super Model.

a month ago
2
1

Which Market Best Predicted the Big Game

Last week, we ran a poll asking you which prediction market (among , Kalshi, and Betfair) wound up having the sharpest pricing leading up to and during S*per Bowl LIX.

2 months ago
4
0

Big Game Post-Mortem Preview Poll

We’re about to publish an analysis of the major trading platforms that let people trade on the outcome of that Eagles v.s Chiefs matchup.

2 months ago
0
0

The Big Game

Real-time aggregate data is drawn from Polymarket, Crypto.com, Betfair, and Kalshi.

3 months ago
3
0

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Authors

The writers behind this newsletter.

  • The Super Model

    Purveyors of the finest real-time prediction market intelligence.

  • Harry Crane

    probability, complexity, gambling, common sense. co-founder http://researchers.one http://analytics.bet statistics professor

  • Flip Pidot

    Politics x Markets

  • Ryan

    Avid tennis player, poker punter, and prediction markets bull

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