The future of prediction market media.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Twice weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 72 | Founded | 2 years ago | Last Issue | 4 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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supercycle.blogLatest Issues
Bentham's Bulldog on Libertarianism, Anarcho-Capitalism, and Futarchy
Featuring Bentham’s Bulldog (a.k.a. Matthew Adelstein).
While mostly not about prediction markets, I still think this was a super interesting discussion that many Supercycle readers will enjoy. A special focus on alternative forms of gover...
NC-11 House Election
Rep. Chuck Edwards’s sudden withdrawal just turned NC-11 into one of the most interesting midterm races. Edwards dropped out in the wake of the House Ethics Committee recommending censure over alleged inappropriate conduct toward young fema...
Prediction Markets Are Fulfilling Their Mission Just Fine
Back in the day, Richard Hanania had some decent prediction market takes. But recently, he seems to have turned on the very asset class he was once a proponent of, calling them a “giant scam.”
The full manifestation of his updated belief c...
Michigan Senate Democratic Primary
Probabilities of winning Michigan’s Democratic U.S. Senate primary. Each venue’s bid/ask midprices are normalized to a sum of ~100%, then weighted according to platform liquidity and subjective quality factors.
See all data, in prettier, i...
Clément Lesage on Resolution, Arbitration, and Decision Markets
Featuring Clément Lesage.
We tried a new podcast layout, let us know what you think in the comments!
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Politics x Markets
probability, complexity, gambling, common sense. co-founder http://researchers.one http://analytics.bet statistics professor
Chronicling the truth machine. 14 years old, per Bloomberg.
Tumblin
Data Science @VoteHub
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