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The future of prediction market media.

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Issues62Founded2 years agoLast Issue7 days ago
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Latest Issues

Manifest 2026: Takeaways and Shenanigans

Featuring Quroe (a repeat guest), Tumbles, and Chris Gerlacher.

I barely figured out the equipment in the Lighthaven podcast room, but nevertheless this was a lot of fun to record! You’ll learn about what goes down at one of the most esote...

7 days ago
1

Perpetual Futures 101

How do they actually work?

The prediction market industry has been moving fast. Every couple months there seems to be a huge new thing everyone’s talking about. Last month was HIP-4, this month it’s “perps,” or perpetual futures.

15 days ago
2
Paid

The Quadrillion Dollar Missing Link

Here’s my talk about Polyoptions at the Las Vegas Prediction Conference.

The Supercycle is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and bonus content, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.

17 days ago

Mick Bransfield on Litigation, Legislation, and the Future of Prediction Markets in the US

Featuring Mick Bransfield.

We discuss how the CFTC is handling lawsuits against states challenging their authority to regulate derivatives exchanges and how a changing CFTC could impact the industry in the future. How hard is it to put the...

a month ago
5
2

Texas Senate

Each market’s bid/ask midprices are normalized to a sum of ~100%, then weighted according to platform liquidity and subjective quality factors.

See all data

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a month ago
4

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  • Flip Pidot

    Politics x Markets

  • Harry Crane

    probability, complexity, gambling, common sense. co-founder http://researchers.one http://analytics.bet statistics professor

  • Eli Goldfine

    "13 year old prediction markets guru" - Business Insider

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