The Supercycle
Flip Pidot, Harry Crane, Eli GoldfineThe future of prediction market media.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Twice weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 59 | Founded | 2 years ago | Last Issue | 12 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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supercycle.blogLatest Issues
Mick Bransfield on Litigation, Legislation, and the Future of Prediction Markets in the US
Featuring Mick Bransfield.
We discuss how the CFTC is handling lawsuits against states challenging their authority to regulate derivatives exchanges and how a changing CFTC could impact the industry in the future. How hard is it to put the...
Texas Senate
Each market’s bid/ask midprices are normalized to a sum of ~100%, then weighted according to platform liquidity and subjective quality factors.
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California Gubernatorial Primary
Probabilities of advancing from CA's June 2 top-two gubernatorial primary to the general election. Each market’s bid/ask midprices are normalized to a sum of ~200%, then weighted according to platform liquidity and subjective quality factor...
Breaking: Minnesota Bans Event Contracts
On Monday, Governor Tim Walz of Minnesota signed bill SF 4760 into law. While it may seem rather benign and routine at first glance, this bill includes a section that makes it the first of its kind: it outlaws operating or advertising excha...
Predictive Accuracy Is Not Driven by Insiders
I was honored to speak at this Elastics event at CV Labs Zug. My talk is about 10 minutes, but you can watch Adhi Rajaprabhakaran and Noah Zingler-Sternig speak at the same event in the full recording.
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| Subscribers | Engagement | 70 | Monthly Web Visits | ||
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Politics x Markets
probability, complexity, gambling, common sense. co-founder http://researchers.one http://analytics.bet statistics professor
"13 year old prediction markets guru" - Business Insider
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