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Fancy Stats

Neil Greenberg, Neil Paine

Data-driven sports analysis for readers who want serious, intelligent coverage.

Platform
Substack
PricingFreemiumPublishesDaily
Issues18SubscribersRead fancystats.substack.com

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Latest Issues

Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.

Where Masters bets go wrong — and how to fix them

It’s not about picking winners. It’s about picking the right bets.

7 days ago
4
0
Paid

How to find parlays that are actually worth betting

A simple framework for finding hidden correlation and avoiding the traps sportsbooks build in

8 days ago
3
0
Paid

Where the men's basketball national title odds don’t make sense

The betting market is treating this like a two-team race. The numbers say it isn’t.

14 days ago
0
0
Paid

Why April MLB stats don’t mean what you think

Early-season MLB stats look like signal. Most of them are noise and that can lead you to the wrong bets.

15 days ago
1
0
Paid

Authors

The writers behind this newsletter.

  • Neil Greenberg

    I write about sports using data, not hot takes. I break down trends, projections and strategy in clear terms so you can understand what the numbers actually mean. If you want smarter context on the NFL and beyond, this is for you.

  • Neil Paine

    Sports data guy, writer, editor, podcaster, former FiveThirtyEight sports editor, proud Georgia Tech alum.

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