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Fancy Stats

Neil Greenberg
Tens of paid subscribers

Data-driven sports analysis for readers who want serious, intelligent coverage.

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Substack
PricingFreemiumPublishesTwice weekly
Issues62Founded8 months agoLast Issue9 days ago
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Latest Issues

Where the NFL betting markets are wrong in Week 3

Looking to cash another anytime touchdown bet at plus money

Week 2 finished 2-2, but the record undersells how well the bets held up. Both losses came after the starting quarterback was knocked out very early, fundamentally changing the ga...

9 days ago
1
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Hot Seat, Cold Math: Which NFL coaches are in trouble after Week 2?

The probability every NFL head coach will be replaced before next season.

Every September, the NFL hot-seat lists begin appearing. One coach is “under pressure.” Another is “on thin ice.” Someone else has a seat that is “warming,” “simmeri...

10 days ago
1
Paid

The NHL's aging curve has barely changed. Alex Ovechkin never followed it.

His remarkable longevity says less about how athletes age than about how rare true outliers really are.

After signing a one-year contract this summer, Alex Ovechkin, the NHL’s all-time leading goal scorer said his focus was proving he can...

15 days ago
3
Paid

Where the NFL betting markets are wrong in Week 2

The goal is to separate what appears repeatable from what might have been opening-week noise

Week 1 gave us our first glimpse of what every NFL team might be this season. It also gave us plenty of reasons to be skeptical. One game can prod...

16 days ago
4
Paid

The NFL is going back under center

Is it actually working?

For years, the NFL’s offensive evolution seemed to have a clear direction: spread the field, put the quarterback in shotgun and make defenses defend every inch of grass.

17 days ago
5
Paid

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  • Neil Greenberg

    I write about sports using data, not hot takes. I break down trends, projections and strategy in clear terms so you can understand what the numbers actually mean. If you want smarter context on the NFL and beyond, this is for you.

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