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Fancy Stats

Neil Greenberg

Data-driven sports analysis for readers who want serious, intelligent coverage.

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Latest Issues

Belmont Stakes 2026 betting guide: Win bets, exactas, trifectas and supers

Using fair odds, value thresholds and exotic-wager construction, here's how I plan to attack one of the most competitive Belmont fields in recent memory.

The Belmont Stakes has always rewarded handicappers willing to look beyond the obviou...

15 days ago
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Belmont Stakes 2026: Breaking down every horse in the field

From troubled Kentucky Derby trips to lightly raced upstarts and pace-dependent closers, every major Belmont contender arrives with something left to prove.

The Belmont Stakes has always been shaped by what happened five weeks earlier at C...

16 days ago
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Nationals among MLB teams forcing us to rethink everything

Baseball’s hardest question is not whether a team is winning, it is whether we should believe it.

The Nationals were supposed to be rebuilding. Most projection systems viewed them as roughly a 65- to 68-win team entering the season, one of...

22 days ago
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The best hitters don’t just hit — they control the at-bat

Pitch-level run values reveal how baseball’s elite hitters force favorable counts, avoid losses and create offensive leverage.

A tweet from baseball researcher Nathaniel Thomas got me thinking this week about how we evaluate hitters (check...

23 days ago
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Kyle Schwarber is this year's real RBI king

Traditional RBI totals reward opportunity. A new metric attempts to measure who is truly cashing in those chances.

Kyle Schwarber is not leading the majors in runs batted in. Entering Thursday, four players were tied for the MLB lead with...

a month ago
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  • Neil Greenberg

    I write about sports using data, not hot takes. I break down trends, projections and strategy in clear terms so you can understand what the numbers actually mean. If you want smarter context on the NFL and beyond, this is for you.

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