Data-driven sports analysis for readers who want serious, intelligent coverage.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Twice weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 65 | Founded | 9 months ago | Last Issue | 8 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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How win probability works in the NFL
The score tells you who is ahead. Win probability tells you how much the game state favors each team and why a lead can be both real and fragile.
The scoreboard can say 24–10 while the game still feels unsettled. Or it can say 17–14, with...
Who will be the next member of the NHL’s 700-goal club?
The NHL has several plausible candidates to join the 700-goal club but Alex Ovechkin’s record is another matter.
Six years ago, with Alex Ovechkin closing in on his 700th career goal, the question wasn’t just when he would get there. It wa...
Which NFL coaches are the most predictable play callers?
Some NFL coaches keep defenses guessing. Others reveal more than you might think.
There is a difference between having a large playbook and being unpredictable.
Where the NFL betting markets are wrong in Week 3
Looking to cash another anytime touchdown bet at plus money
Week 2 finished 2-2, but the record undersells how well the bets held up. Both losses came after the starting quarterback was knocked out very early, fundamentally changing the ga...
Hot Seat, Cold Math: Which NFL coaches are in trouble after Week 2?
The probability every NFL head coach will be replaced before next season.
Every September, the NFL hot-seat lists begin appearing. One coach is “under pressure.” Another is “on thin ice.” Someone else has a seat that is “warming,” “simmeri...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
I write about sports using data, not hot takes. I break down trends, projections and strategy in clear terms so you can understand what the numbers actually mean. If you want smarter context on the NFL and beyond, this is for you.
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