Futuur
Futuur, Hugo Peck, André SilvaJoin us at https://futuur.com/
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Infrequently |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 5 | Subscribers | Read | futuur.substack.com |
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Latest Issues
Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.
Prediction Markets Beat Polls
As the dust settles on the 2024 U.S. presidential election, two things stand out: prediction markets drew a lot of attention, and, as we will see here, they deserve it. Prediction markets outperformed traditional polls in forecasting accura...
Futuur 101: How to Improve My Prediction Skills?
While there are no magic formulas to achieve better predictions in sports, prediction markets, or life in general, decades of solid scientific evidence point to something like a method behind the randomness of real-life events.
Can prediction markets predict the Oscars?
Predicting the Oscars is a fun challenge. They are a good example of non-cumulative information markets, where no information is revealed until the last minute, when the markets are resolved. And they are a clearly defined, popular set of m...
Expanding the Forecast Horizon
In the ever-evolving landscape of prediction markets and other forecasting methods, a key question persists: which approach is the most accurate? A recent post on “Do Prediction Markets Have an Election Problem?” addresses this issue, buil...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Futuur is a prediction market where you can bet on future events and help create better forecasts for everyone through the wisdom of the crowd!
I write about innovation, startups, business, technology, and personal performance. Rethinking the meaning and future of work, life, success, wealth, and freedom. Physicist, philosopher, entrepreneur, startup mentor, writer.
Writer, journalist and editor.
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