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While there are no magic formulas to achieve better predictions in sports, prediction markets, or life in general, decades of solid scientific evidence point to something like a method behind the randomness of real-life events.
Predicting the Oscars is a fun challenge. They are a good example of non-cumulative information markets, where no information is revealed until the last minute, when the markets are resolved. And they are a clearly defined, popular set of m...
In the ever-evolving landscape of prediction markets and other forecasting methods, a key question persists: which approach is the most accurate? A recent post on “Do Prediction Markets Have an Election Problem?” addresses this issue, buil...
Futuur is a prediction market where you can trade on the outcome of real-world events and earn money if you’re right! Futuur has hundreds of active markets – more than any other platform – on every topic imaginable, ranging from politics a...
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The writers behind this newsletter.
Futuur is a prediction market where you can bet on future events and help create better forecasts for everyone through the wisdom of the crowd!
I write about innovation, startups, business, technology, and personal performance. Rethinking the meaning and future of work, life, success, wealth, and freedom. Physicist, philosopher, entrepreneur, startup mentor, writer.
Writer, journalist and editor.
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