Predictions
GeoVaneForecasting, geopolitics, and more.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 17 | Founded | 5 years ago | Last Issue | 3 years ago |
| Active | |||||
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predictions.substack.comLatest Issues
🎙️ 002: Is the United States and Iran headed for War?
In Episode 002 of The Long Telegram, join hosts Clay Graubard, Andrew Eaddy, Ben Wheeler, and Ezra Brodey as they delve deep into the escalating tensions between the United States and Iran. They examine the probability of a full-scale war,...
🎙️ 001: Will Israel fight a Multi-Front War after invading Gaza?
To celebrate hitting 50,000 subscribers on our YouTube, we decided to gather some of our favorite voices in geopolitics for this special (and in some ways, inaugural) episode of The Long Telegram. In this episode, Clay and Andrew are joined...
004: Robin Hanson is Right & Everyone Else is Wrong.
Welcome back to Predictions. After a month apart, in large part due to the difficulties of natural disaster forecasting 😉, we return!
In this issue, we grapple with Robin Hanson’s speech from last month’s Manifest Conference on forecastin...
003: Diving into Natural Disaster Forecasting
Welcome back to Predictions, the hottest newsletter about quantified forecasting and prediction markets. In this issue:
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News in Numbers: Trump Blocked from Ballot, US Government Shutdown, Biden Removed from Office & more
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Deep Dive...
002: What Makes a Forecast Good?
Welcome back, everyone! In this week’s Predictions:
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News in Numbers: The biggest (or sometimes, not biggest) news stories of the week, from forecasters and prediction markets, selected by us.
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Opinion: Andrew and Clay offer their o...
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