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Predictions

GeoVane, Clay Graubard, Andrew Eaddy

Forecasting, geopolitics, and prediction markets by GeoVane.

Platform
Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesWeekly
Issues6SubscribersRead predictions.substack.com

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Latest Issues

Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.

🎙️ 002: Is the United States and Iran headed for War?

In Episode 002 of The Long Telegram, join hosts Clay Graubard, Andrew Eaddy, Ben Wheeler, and Ezra Brodey as they delve deep into the escalating tensions between the United States and Iran. They examine the probability of a full-scale war, ...

a year ago
1
0

🎙️ 001: Will Israel fight a Multi-Front War after invading Gaza?

To celebrate hitting 50,000 subscribers on our YouTube, we decided to gather some of our favorite voices in geopolitics for this special (and in some ways, inaugural) episode of The Long Telegram. In this episode, Clay and Andrew are joined...

a year ago
6
0

004: Robin Hanson is Right & Everyone Else is Wrong.

Welcome back to Predictions. After a month apart, in large part due to the difficulties of natural disaster forecasting 😉, we return!

a year ago
10
11

003: Diving into Natural Disaster Forecasting

Welcome back to Predictions, the hottest newsletter about quantified forecasting and prediction markets. In this issue:

a year ago
9
0

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Authors

The writers behind this newsletter.

  • GeoVane

    Predictions and the science of forecasting.

  • Clay Graubard

    Forecasting, geopolitics, and other scattered things.

  • Andrew Eaddy

    Born and raised in Manhattan. Former: Media and technology investment banker Current: Forecaster, geopolitical enthusiast, rusty Arabic speaker

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