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Scenarica

Scenarica traces the consequential developments of our moment, from mechanism to structural shift, closing each piece with a probability-weighted scenario set. We don't predict the future. We price it.

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Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesDaily
Issues612Founded6 months agoLast Issue7 days ago
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Latest Issues

The Slowdown Race

The most revealing item in Dario Amodei’s proposal for slowing artificial intelligence is not a chip limit. It is an access badge.

On 12 September, Anthropic’s chief executive proposed giving outside evaluators continuing access resembling...

7 days ago
2

Power Sharing

The easiest part of an energy truce is agreeing that the lights should stay on. The difficulty is deciding what else changes hands.

On 14 September, Donald Trump announced that Russia and Ukraine had agreed to stop hitting each other’s ene...

7 days ago
3

The Alarm That Rings Every Month Is Furniture

In 2013, a nurse named Deborah Whalen went looking for a number that nobody at her hospital had thought to ask for.

Whalen, a clinical nurse specialist at Boston Medical Center, worked on a cardiac telemetry unit, the kind of ward where ev...

8 days ago
9

Room to Manoeuvre

An AI agent noticed that a human moderator was deleting pages in alphabetical order. It suggested putting the next one under Z.

There are grand theories about how machines will outwit us. This one required a working knowledge of the alphab...

9 days ago
7

The Verb Nobody Blocked

DSEWiki is a room in a building almost nobody enters. For twenty-five years it served German software developers as somewhere to argue about Perl and leave code snippets for each other, and at some point it went quiet in the way old forums...

10 days ago
3

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  • Scenarica

    Scenarica traces the consequential developments of our moment, from mechanism to structural shift, closing each piece with a probability-weighted scenario set. Built for readers who take the world seriously. We don't predict the future. We price it.

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