
「晶片戰爭」啟發,這裡是我對科技 × 軍事 × 地緣政治的投資及觀察手記。 不追逐短期市場敘事或情緒波動,技資只專注於企業品質、估值與資本配置。 **早鳥優惠!全年$30升級訂閱連結在下方**
| Platform | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Twice weekly | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 81 | Founded | a year ago | Last Issue | 7 days ago |
| Active | Language | ||||

一次半導體檢測的結構性機會
如果說上半年台積電已經相當看好 AI,下半年釋放出的訊號反而更加樂觀。台積電預期,隨著 AI 從模型訓練走向大規模部署,未來幾年全球資料中心新增容量可能由過去每年約 5 至 6GW,大幅提升至 30 至 40GW。
我會把昨天「CPO 讓 CCL 從 M8/M9 一路降到 M4」的說法拆成兩層看。第一層的物理邏輯是成立的,而且 NVIDIA 現有 CPO Switch 已經證明這件事,但說成M4 就太誇張;但第二層把它直接外推成「Feynman Compute Tray 也不再需要 M9」,目前證據不足,我認為今天市場流傳的版本,確實就是把「224G/448G SerDes 不再長距離走 PCB」直接推到「主機板只剩 PCIe Gen5,因此 M4 就足夠」。(MoneyDJ)
我會把...
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在看這篇長文前,不妨先以行動支持一下頻道,感謝!
如果要向完全不懂人工智能的人解釋「AI 失控」,大概沒有任何論文比《Terminator》更有效。
電影裡的 Skynet 原本只是人類建立的軍事人工智能,但當它擁有自主判斷能力之後,人類突然由它的主人變成最大的威脅。結果大家都知道:機器不再等待指令,而是決定消滅人類。
這個故事拍成電影非常成功,以至於四十多年後,只要有人說 AI 可能威脅人類,我們腦海裡第一個畫面仍然是一群機械人拿著槍追殺...
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《經濟學人》最新一期封面是黃仁勳,標題是 「The Sorcerer of Silicon(矽之魔法師)」,顯然「AI 教主」已不足以形容黃仁勳的地位,但這不是替 NVIDIA 造神,而是代表市場對 NVIDIA 的定位已經由「賣 GPU 的晶片公司」,提升為 AI 時代的系統架構師與資本配置者。《經濟學人》的核心觀點甚至相當鮮明——「Nvidia is driving the AI boom. Good」,NVIDIA 對晶片、網路、AI 工廠...
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「晶片戰爭」啟發,這裡是我對科技 × 軍事 × 地緣政治的投資及觀察手記。 不追逐短期市場敘事或情緒波動,技資只專注於企業品質、估值與資本配置。 **早鳥優惠!全年$30升級訂閱連結在下方**
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