Marketwise
AndreasA weekly newsletter about prediction markets and how they are useful to make decisions.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 35 | Founded | 3 years ago | Last Issue | 2 years ago |
| Active | |||||
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marketwise.substack.comLatest Issues
No Chance for Coalitions in Germany?
Last weekend, there were two important elections in Germany. Thuringia and Saxony are two of the 16 federal states, each with its own state parliament. These elections determine which parties will control local government. Back in March, I...
Honest Game Reviews
Recently, I stumbled upon a podcast discussing games journalism. The title is (translated from German) “Are all games journalists bought?” Many commenters on social media seem to agree but nobody was able to suggest a better alternative. I’...
Real Estate Crisis in China
Vague market description are a problem for prediction markets. Creators sometimes struggle:
I am intentionally vague with my definition of crisis, but here are some things that would cause me to resolve this as YES
This market has quite...
Should Scrum teams use Prediction Markets?
Many software developers work in Scrum teams and forecasting comes up there.
“Scrum” was originally a Rugby term. This is a how Bing imagines software developers in a scrum.
The Scrum Guide mentions forecasting twice. Number one:
Vario...
Manifund: Prediction Markets but Charity
Usually, I dump money into our german Give Well instance, where I don’t have to think that deeply about charities. Re-granting impact certificates is kind of the opposite.
What You Buy
Here is Manifund’s example of impact certificates:...
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