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One-armed Pundit

Forecasting, geopolitics, and some other ideas

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Issues4Founded4 years agoLast Issue2 years ago
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Latest Issues

The Forecaster's Bookshelf: Books About Forecasting - Part 1

Some of you may already know that I have a Spotify list of podcast episodes about forecasting, and a YouTube playlist on this topic. I started working on the list of useful and relevant books for forecasters, in late August 2020. Since then...

2 years ago
11
3

Russian Moon landing attempt - Forecasting case study & post-mortem analysis - part 1

Illustration of a lander landing on the Moon, which I created using Midjourney.

In April, a question about Russian landing on the Moon was published on the INFER platform: Will Russia successfully launch a moon mission on or before 1 Sep 2...

3 years ago
7
2

How to make forecasting more useful for policy-makers: Part 1

Why is judgmental forecasting still underused by policy-makers and business decision-makers? Forecasters’ discussions about that are likely as old as the forecasting community itself. So, how old, exactly? If it was up to me to choose when...

3 years ago
10

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This is One-armed Pundit, a newsletter about forecasting, geopolitics, and some other ideas which I want to share with the world.

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4 years ago

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