Fortnightly Forecasts
Supers on substack, Fortnightly ForecasterWhat the future could look like, from a team of GJP superforecasters and well-calibrated colleagues
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Monthly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 5 | Subscribers | Read | supers.substack.com |
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Latest Issues
Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.
How will Palestine look like after Abbas?
image by Ahmed Abu Hameeda, https://unsplash.com/photos/D9lCSvUcErk
How long does Kabul have left?
In April, President Joe Biden announced that the US and its allies would withdraw from Afghanistan, after nearly 20 years of trying to impose a fractious peace. Since then, the number of NATO troops there has been steadily withdrawing: more...
Will there be a war over Taiwan?
This week some of our forecasters’ work was featured in Unherd, where Tom Chivers writes up a forecasting exercise on the probability of the China/Taiwan conflict sparking into a shooting war, and what the likely consequences would be in te...
Will variants cause new lockdowns for the US or UK this year?
We’ll be alternating free and paid editions of this newsletter from July onwards- join us as a subscriber if you’d like to see our exclusive forecasts on future topics
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Current and former GJP superforecasters and well-calibrated colleagues
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