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The Prediction Post

Headlines from prediction markets - a smarter way to read the news.

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Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesDaily
Issues30Founded2 years agoLast Issue2 years ago
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Latest Issues

Polymarket's "The Oracle" picks up where The Prediction Post left off

If you subscribe to The Prediction Post before March 21st, you’ll know that I stopped writing daily editions of The Prediction Post at that time.

The Prediction Post isn’t coming back any time soon, but I did want to share a Substack that...

2 years ago
3

The Prediction Post is shutting down. Come get my March Madness bracket picks instead!

I’ll no longer be writing The Prediction Post. Thanks everyone for your support of my side project!

As a fan of forecasting and prediction markets, I had a ton of fun digging through the headlines each day to find compelling contrast betw...

2 years ago
2
1

Trump: Likely not a Superforecaster

Trump predicts the end of U.S. democracy if he loses 2024 election - Reuters

🇺🇸 U.S.

Takeaway: Prediction markets disagree with Trump - they believe there’s a 97% chance that the US will still be a democracy if a Democrat i...

2 years ago

Elon Musk and his disintegrating rocket

SpaceX Starship disintegrates after completing most of third test flight - Reuters

🧪 Science & Health

SpaceX lauded for largely successful 3rd test flight despite disintegration.


Schumer Urges New Leadership in I...

2 years ago

TikTok banned?

House passes bill that could ban TikTok in the U.S., sending it to the Senate - NBC News

🇺🇸 U.S.

Despite traders giving the bill a ~75% chance of passing Senate and signed by Biden, they believe there’s less than a 25% of a...

2 years ago

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    Headlines from prediction markets - a smarter way to consume the news.

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