
用分析師的視角,寫市場真正如何被判斷,而不是如何被解讀,把sellside與buyside的決策流程,翻譯成投資人看的懂的語言
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越來越多人覺得AI 普及之後,股票市場應該越來越有效率,因為所有人都能更快拿到資訊。但是當資訊本身開始快速商品化,未來真正稀缺的就不再是“資訊”了,經驗反而能讓人反向找到alpha
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同時另一件更大的事情也正在發生。
AI 已經不只是:聊天工具、搜尋工具、生成工具。
它開始慢慢變成新的 Internet 入口。...
最近收到一些問題:
在這樣的盤勢下,自己已經突破紀律開了小槓桿,還是輸別人很多,自己是不是太保守?
還是牛市就是要捨棄價值投資?等熊市再玩價值投資?
資深前輩為何能夠隨著盤勢彈性調整操作紀律,為什麼我嚴守紀律停損停利,卻失去最好賺的一段?
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因為很多人都在執行安全邊際,但其實根本不知道安全邊際到底是什麼,...
很多人會覺得這一輪上漲開始從AI核心基建的標的蔓延到各行各業的標的,
認為全面性的廣度瘋漲是因為資金沒有地方去,因為盤勢太熱了,
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我原本也有這樣的錯覺,但上週跟幾個機構客戶討論,
先前市場討論過一次“AI實體“的議題,但當時市場認為那還要很久,並且認為AI實體主要是電力、水泥、變壓器這一類的AI基建,
但華...
這一週的市場很矛盾,股市還在創新高,AI 與企業獲利持續上修,市場還在期待下一波 re-rate,可是當我接觸到資深的機構專家,他們的聲音卻是:能源市場正在面臨近代最劇烈的供應衝擊之一
如果油價真的這麼危險,股市為什麼不跌?
如果經濟真的開始承受壓力,為什麼企業獲利還能這麼強?
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因為市場已經把分化看的越來越...
最近不少讀者發問:以為終於資金要輪到到自己手上的Mega Cap了,結果怎麼最會漲的又是記憶體、CPU?
明明手上的標的基本面都超級好,為什麼漲一兩天又停下來?
為什麼自己就是賺不到市場最肥的那一段?
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有一句話說:算不出來數字的最會漲?炒夢的更會漲
事實上,不是“算不出來”,反而是“還沒被算清楚的”最會...
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現役美股分析師|給你機構的釣竿,跟機構一起釣到大魚 \ud83c\udfa3用機構的方式,拆解市場如何定價 ——— Threads/FB/IG|市場解碼、評價溫度計 Substack|投資紀律、分析師備忘錄、市場解碼深度
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