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美股送分題

用分析師的視角,寫市場真正如何被判斷,而不是如何被解讀,把sellside與buyside的決策流程,翻譯成投資人看的懂的語言

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Artwork for 美股送分題

Latest Issues

《如果大型科技股也會跟著跌,那我到底為什麼要買它? 》

每一種投資策略,都有它應該接受的代價。

做短線的人,要接受不停停損、追高、換股的代價。

做價值投資的人,要接受有一段時間落後市場的代價。

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買大型科技股的人,要接受它不一定每一波都領漲,但也會在市場回檔時一起波動。

很多人不是不能接受波動,而是買進之前,從來沒有想清楚自己到底在玩哪一場遊戲。

在開始之前...

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《為什麼你總是賣飛十倍股?因為你的研究停留在買進那一天|給重壓後卻沒抱住的你 》

上週那一篇「重壓」的投資紀律道出今年太多人的心聲,但更多讀者反應比重壓更難的是“持有“

讀者說:我有重壓啊,可是MU目標價400到了我就賣了,就一路目送他到1100了

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台灣的朋友一定很有經驗,身邊散戶大媽超愛說:這隻好,20塊買,70塊賣!

然後過兩年已經漲到200了,大媽還在說:兩年前老王就跟我說可以買,底...

15 days ago
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《為什麼你總是在錯誤的地方重壓?真正值得重壓的,是“認知優勢最大”的公司》

大概是每個人都會經歷過的:看對飆股,只買3%,然後股價漲兩倍,總資產只增加6%,

研究都對呀,但沒有把研究成果轉化成部位

為什麼?因為你根本沒有建立信心與部位之間的連結

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如果你看了我很多文章,你會發現機構的套路就是那幾種,而最重要的就是部位配置,

很多散戶認為研究公司跟產業還有產品技術超級重要,你會瘋狂在網...

23 days ago
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《宋分分析師備忘錄 #13》市場最大的風險不是AI失敗,是AI成功得不夠快

最近最常被問到的問題:市場是不是太貴了?

很多人開始擔心牛市是不是快結束了?

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但我最近跟不少機構客戶聊,以及上週Microsoft Build Day之後,我反而產生了一個不同的想法:市場最大的風險可能不是AI失敗,而是AI成功得不夠快。

過去兩年市場交易的是AI是不是假的?但現在已經沒有人在質疑AI,

現...

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《為什麼左側價值投資人總是賺不到右側? 股票越漲越不敢買?結果當你決定加入右側交易,卻迎來第一根大跌》

這一波對於左側價值投資人只有更痛,沒有最痛,

漲的還是那些標的,每天動輒8%10%在漲,

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而你手上的價值股呢?可能便宜、可能獲利穩定,但就是不漲,甚至越買部位越大,績效原地踏步,

很多人開始懷疑自己,是不是市場變了?是不是價值投資失效了?是不是以後都只能追高?

最近就有讀者問我:為什麼這一輪真正賺最多的人,...

a month ago
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  • 美股送分題

    現役美股分析師|給你機構的釣竿,跟機構一起釣到大魚 \ud83c\udfa3用機構的方式,拆解市場如何定價 ——— Threads/FB/IG|市場解碼、評價溫度計 Substack|投資紀律、分析師備忘錄、市場解碼深度

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